Vol. 6 - Japan Policy Forum
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No.
Vol. 6, Diplomacy  Oct. 26, 2026

The Dilemma Posed by the NPT Review Conference: The Tension Between Maintaining the NPT Regime and National Security

The NPT Review Conference concluded without adopting a final document. The tense relationship between the ideal of the NPT norms—which mandate nuclear disarmament and non-proliferation—and the reality of national security, which compels reliance on nuclear deterrence, is making consensus building ever more difficult. Deepening polarization between nuclear-weapon states and non-nuclear-weapon states is undermining the central cohesive force of the conference. In several instances, the successive dilution of the draft final document itself made reaching agreement even more challenging. Japan finds itself caught in a dilemma between its commitment to promoting the NPT and the need to safeguard its own security posture. The 11th Review Conference of the Parties to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT)—hereinafter referred to as the NPT Review Conference—held in April and May 2026, opened under an acute sense of urgency to avoid a third consecutive failure to ... ... [Read more]

No.
Vol. 6, Society  Oct. 20, 2026

Are Young People Really Becoming “Conservative”? Current Perspectives from a Junior High School Consciousness Survey

“Youth Conservatization” Discussed from Both Left and Right In recent years, there has been a surge of media coverage and commentary surrounding youth and politics. Among these topics, “conservatization” is by far the most popular. High support among young people for political parties such as Sanseito[1] and for the Takaichi Sanae administration is often discussed with surprise or a sense of crisis, sparking various speculations regarding the underlying reasons. Explanations range from arguments that youth have become more submissive to authority to claims that they simply do not study history. On the other hand, critics argue that raising such concerns is itself a biased perspective held by the left (or the old media). This represents one typical scene in recent political discourse. This discussion has also spilled over into the realm of education, where the influence of conservative educational reforms is sometimes cited. Recent ... ... [Read more]

No.
Vol. 6, Economy  Oct. 15, 2026

Is This the Potential of Japan Escaping the “Deflationary Trap”?

Is the current overheating of the Japanese economy a temporary enthusiasm, or is it a manifestation of structural change? Voice spoke with Professor Itoh Motoshige about the course of the Japanese economy in an era of exiting deflation and navigating the AI revolution. An “Exit Bonus” Supporting the Japanese Economy There is no doubt that the Japanese economy, and indeed the global economy, is currently reaching a major turning point. In Japan, an era of deflation continued for more than two decades starting from the early part of this century. While there were various underlying factors behind deflation, as a result, companies became extremely reluctant to invest, wages failed to rise, and consumer spending stagnated accordingly. Since the COVID-19 pandemic, however, that situation has been changing significantly. The Japanese economy has gradually transitioned from a deflationary environment to an inflationary one. Rather than being ... ... [Read more]

No.
Vol. 6, Economy  Oct. 7, 2026

The Strategic Logic of “Autonomy” in Asian Decarbonization: What Should Japan Connect?

The Asia Zero Emission Community (AZEC) serves as a framework for cooperation among environmentally like-minded Asian nations. The key to the success of this framework lies in designing highly transparent institutional systems and fostering the trust required to mobilize private investment. AZEC should simultaneously pursue decarbonization, economic growth, and energy security. The ties that bind AZEC stem from a bundle of policy implementations, including infrastructure, institutional frameworks, finance, and human resource development. What is required of Japan is to engage with Asian AZEC members through “non-forcing” collaboration—offering inclusive partnerships without demanding binary choices. The global order is moving around two distinct forms of “autonomy.” The first is the effort by advanced democracies—such as European nations and Canada—to reinforce their own foundations in security, industry, technology, and finance, even while still requiring US power. The second is the movement among Global South countries to avoid ... ... [Read more]

No.
Vol. 6, Diplomacy  Oct. 6, 2026

How the “Free and Open Indo-Pacific” Has Evolved: The New Scope of “FOIP 3.0”

Ten years have passed since then-Prime Minister Abe Shinzo first proposed the Free and Open Indo-Pacific (FOIP) vision in 2016. Connecting the United States, Japan, Australia, India, and ASEAN nations, FOIP has evolved into a framework aimed at regional stability and prosperity, grounded in the rule of law and free economic activity. Meanwhile, the environment surrounding the Indo-Pacific has shifted dramatically, marked by intensifying geopolitical competition and the fragmentation of supply chains. In May 2026, Prime Minister Takaichi outlined a direction to further evolve FOIP, positioning “autonomy” and “resilience” as its new central pillars. On May 2, 2026, during her visit to Vietnam, Prime Minister Takaichi Sanae delivered a major foreign policy speech at Vietnam National University, Hanoi, centered on the theme of an updated “Free and Open Indo-Pacific (FOIP).” This year, 2026, marks exactly a decade since Prime Minister Abe Shinzo announced the ... ... [Read more]